Watford vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
COV
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 3
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
4 - 0
SHW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |