Watford vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 2
WAT
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
ASV
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRY
2 - 1
WAT
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WHU
3 - 1
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 0
EVE
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STO
1 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 3
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |