Watford vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
SHE
1 - 1
WAT
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
LEI
1 - 1
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
0 - 1
OXF
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
SUN
0 - 1
BBU
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1990 |
COV
5 - 0
SUN
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
WBA
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
SUN
0 - 0
COV
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |