Watford vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
IPS
3 - 3
WAT
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
LEE
0 - 4
WAT
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
WAT
3 - 3
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
LUT
3 - 2
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
CHL
2 - 3
WAT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
SUN
3 - 0
QPR
42%
26%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
SUN
3 - 0
LUT
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 2
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |