Watford vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
COV
1 - 2
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1984 |
WAT
4 - 3
LUT
59%
19%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
LUT
2 - 2
WAT
64%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1984 |
TOT
2 - 3
WAT
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1984 |
QPR
6 - 0
STO
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
STO
0 - 2
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1984 |
STO
0 - 1
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 0
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |