Watford vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
COV
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1988 |
WAT
2 - 0
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
POR
0 - 0
WAT
19%
21%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 4
LIV
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
NOR
0 - 0
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
SHW
2 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
LUT
2 - 1
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |