Watford vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 4
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DER
1 - 0
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 1
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
HUR
2 - 0
SCU
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
SCU
3 - 0
HAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
SCU
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
SCU
2 - 1
TRA
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCU
4 - 4
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |