Watford vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
WAT
4 - 1
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
QPR
1 - 3
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
WAT
3 - 2
LEI
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
LEE
3 - 3
OPA
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
OPA
1 - 1
MIL
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
OPA
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 2
OPA
31%
30%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
OPA
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |