Watford vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WHU
3 - 2
WAT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
LEE
2 - 2
WAT
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WAT
0 - 0
ROT
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SHE
1 - 1
WAT
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
WAT
5 - 2
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
OPA
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 3
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
OPA
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 2
OPA
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ASV
3 - 0
OPA
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |