Watford vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.4%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.2%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.1%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
NOR
6 - 1
WAT
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
0 - 2
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
IPS
0 - 0
WAT
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
SUN
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
1 - 0
QPR
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
DER
0 - 1
PLY
66%
18%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
PLY
0 - 0
DER
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
WBA
0 - 1
PLY
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
PLY
2 - 1
DAR
67%
17%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1984 |
NEW
0 - 1
PLY
59%
19%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |