Watford vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 2
COV
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 3
WAT
27%
23%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 3
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
COV
0 - 4
WAT
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 0
DAG
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
OLD
3 - 0
NOT
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
PLY
0 - 1
NOT
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 3
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 0
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |