Watford vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
3 - 2
WAT
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 2
TOT
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
DON
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WAT
3 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
IPS
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SHW
3 - 2
NOR
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 2
CRY
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NTT
1 - 2
NOR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |