Watford vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
STO
0 - 3
WAT
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 0
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
BUR
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
PLY
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
STO
3 - 1
NOR
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
MKD
0 - 1
NOR
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 0
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |