Watford vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
QPR
1 - 1
WAT
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
BIR
2 - 0
WAT
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
WAT
2 - 2
STO
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
WAT
0 - 1
BBU
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
CRE
2 - 0
WAT
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 1
WBA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 0
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
NOR
1 - 0
WOL
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
NOR
4 - 0
STO
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
CRY
1 - 1
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |