Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
SHW
2 - 2
WAT
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
COV
4 - 0
WAT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 3
MID
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
MUD
4 - 1
WAT
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
MID
1 - 0
WAT
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |