Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
ARS
0 - 1
WAT
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
3 - 0
OXF
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
CHA
1 - 0
WAT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
QPR
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
1 - 1
QPR
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
4 - 0
LUT
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
NEW
2 - 2
COV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |