Watford vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
TOT
2 - 1
WAT
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
OPA
1 - 1
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 3
SHW
60%
22%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
DER
1 - 1
WAT
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
OPA
1 - 2
MUD
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
MUD
3 - 1
OXF
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |