Watford vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHL
12%
20%
67%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
64%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
WAT
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
12%
19%
70%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
WHU
73%
17%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 0
EVE
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |