Watford vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 2
WAT
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
TOT
4 - 1
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 3
QPR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 3
WAT
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
QPR
2 - 2
LUT
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
LUT
0 - 0
WIM
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
LUT
3 - 1
TOT
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
3 - 0
LUT
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |