Watford vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
1 - 3
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 1
WAT
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 2
LUT
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
LUT
0 - 0
WAT
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 1
WAT
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
SHW
1 - 1
LUT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
LUT
1 - 0
MIL
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 2
LUT
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
LUT
0 - 0
WAT
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 1
SUN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |