Watford vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 0
RSO
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ASV
0 - 0
WAT
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 0
EIB
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
VKP
0 - 1
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 2
WAT
14%
21%
66%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 1
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 1
LIV
64%
21%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
BYM
0 - 3
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HER
0 - 3
LIV
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |