Watford vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
WAT
2 - 0
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1970 |
CUM
5 - 0
WAT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
WAT
2 - 1
GIL
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
WAT
2 - 1
LEI
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 0
STO
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
NEW
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1970 |
LEI
0 - 2
LIV
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
LEI
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
NTT
1 - 0
LIV
32%
29%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
LIV
3 - 1
WRE
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |