Watford vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
PLY
0 - 1
WAT
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SWA
1 - 1
WAT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 2
BPO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 1
POS
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LEI
2 - 1
BPO
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEI
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
PNE
2 - 1
LEI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |