Watford vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
WOL
1 - 1
WAT
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 1
SUN
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
SHE
1 - 1
WAT
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
LEE
2 - 2
WBA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
IPS
2 - 2
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
LEE
4 - 3
HUL
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SWI
3 - 2
LEE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
LEE
2 - 0
STO
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |