Watford vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 1
LIV
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 2
WAT
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
FUL
2 - 0
WAT
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
WAT
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 0
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 0
PLY
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 0
GIL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 1
GIL
69%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
GIL
0 - 0
REA
31%
26%
42%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |