Watford vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1984 |
WHU
2 - 4
WAT
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
WAT
3 - 1
BHA
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
NOT
3 - 5
WAT
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
WAT
3 - 1
WBA
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
LIV
3 - 0
WAT
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
ASV
1 - 0
EVE
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
EVE
3 - 0
STF
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1984 |
GIL
0 - 3
EVE
6%
20%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |