Watford vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
WAT
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 1
LEI
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LIV
5 - 0
WAT
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 5
WAT
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
QPR
0 - 1
WAT
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CRY
1 - 2
BHA
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 3
CRY
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
CRY
1 - 3
MUD
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LEI
1 - 4
CRY
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DON
0 - 2
CRY
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |