Watford vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 2
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
REA
4 - 0
WAT
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
SCU
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 4
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CRY
1 - 4
IPS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
CRY
2 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 0
CRY
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRY
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRY
3 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |