Watford vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CRE
0 - 1
WAT
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 0
BOL
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 2
WAT
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 1
TRA
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
WAT
0 - 0
BCF
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CRY
0 - 1
SWI
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WOL
0 - 0
CRY
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 1
SUN
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRY
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |