FA Cup Last 16
Global 0-1
Watford vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
1 - 0
SWI
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
2 - 0
SCA
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
SCA
0 - 0
WAT
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
WAT
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
NTT
1 - 2
CRY
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
CRY
2 - 0
LEI
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
CRY
4 - 0
MAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
CRY
5 - 1
LIN
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
NTT
1 - 0
CRY
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |