Watford vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 3
WAT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 0
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 3
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
LUT
1 - 2
WAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
CRY
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 2
PLY
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
DER
5 - 1
CRE
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PNE
2 - 1
CRE
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
SHW
3 - 0
CRE
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CRE
3 - 4
QPR
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |