Watford vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 4
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
4 - 1
CRE
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 3
WAT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 0
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 3
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
COV
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
COV
2 - 0
BHA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
HUL
1 - 2
COV
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
COV
1 - 1
MID
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
COV
6 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |