Watford vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1987 |
DAR
0 - 3
WAT
10%
16%
74%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 0
OPA
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
SHW
2 - 3
WAT
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
WAT
0 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 1
TOT
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
REA
3 - 1
CHL
20%
23%
58%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
CHL
1 - 0
NOR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
QPR
3 - 1
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
CHL
4 - 3
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1987 |
MUD
3 - 1
CHL
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |