Watford vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
NTT
3 - 2
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 0
QPR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
LIV
3 - 1
WAT
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
LEI
2 - 2
WAT
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
3 - 0
COV
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
LUT
1 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
TOT
4 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
CHL
3 - 0
WBA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |