EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-2
Watford vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
CAM
1 - 0
WAT
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
OPA
1 - 2
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
FUL
1 - 2
WAT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
WAT
2 - 1
BOU
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CAM
2 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
CAM
1 - 0
WAT
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
GUL
0 - 1
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
HUL
1 - 0
CAM
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
CAM
2 - 2
NOT
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |