Watford vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
5 - 1
WAT
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 96 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 2
BRE
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 3
LEE
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
WAT
83%
12%
4%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAT
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
WOL
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
51%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
WHU
1 - 1
BUR
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 2
EVE
27%
26%
48%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |