Watford vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NTT
1 - 0
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
CRY
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAT
0 - 1
BHA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAT
3 - 0
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 1
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
DON
1 - 0
BUR
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 2
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 0
BUR
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |