Watford vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SHE
1 - 2
WAT
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WAT
3 - 3
CRY
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
PNE
1 - 1
WAT
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
NTT
0 - 1
WAT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 2
LUT
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BHA
1 - 2
GRI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
IPS
3 - 1
BHA
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 0
BHA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
BHA
1 - 2
STO
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BHA
2 - 4
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |