Watford vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BBU
2 - 2
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 1
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BPO
0 - 1
WAT
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
WAT
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
4 - 2
HUR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MID
4 - 0
BRE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 3
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 2
BHA
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 2
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |