Watford vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
BIR
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CRY
2 - 3
WAT
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 0
WYC
73%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
5 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
FLE
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
SWI
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |