Watford vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
LUT
1 - 2
WAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
CRY
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
WAT
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 0
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BUR
4 - 1
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
13%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 0
BOL
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 4
BOL
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |