Watford vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
16%
22%
63%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 0
WAT
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 2
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 2
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 2
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
SWA
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |