Watford vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SWA
1 - 1
WAT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 2
BPO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 4
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
WAT
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 3
REA
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
REA
1 - 2
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 3
PNE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 2
COV
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |