Watford vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
QPR
2 - 0
WAT
24%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
ARS
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 4
LIV
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
VKG
0 - 8
ARS
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 3
ARS
13%
20%
67%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |