Watford vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 0
ASV
30%
25%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 2
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 1
WHU
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
EVE
2 - 1
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
STA
2 - 1
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
STA
5 - 0
WRE
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 2
STA
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
3 - 1
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
ROC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |