Waterside Karori vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
40
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 5
WEL
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
7 - 1
WKA
64%
17%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
20%
46%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
3 - 3
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UHC
1 - 2
WKA
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 1
WEL
5%
11%
84%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
6 - 0
VUN
73%
15%
11%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |