Waterside Karori vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
9º
6º
40
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WKA
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 0
WEL
7%
14%
80%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
2 - 1
NAP
17%
17%
66%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
WKA
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
5 - 3
WEL
58%
18%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 1
AUC
23%
19%
58%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 4
WEL
27%
21%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 1
CHR
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |