Waterside Karori vs Stop Out analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
13.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 5
NAP
46%
20%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 2
WKA
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 6
WKA
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
STO
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
STO
39%
21%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
STO
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |