Waterside Karori vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UHC
1 - 2
WKA
28%
20%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
62%
17%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
PET
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 4
NWA
81%
12%
8%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
NWA
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |