Waterside Karori vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
9º
6º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
32%
21%
48%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 3
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAW
0 - 2
WKA
14%
16%
71%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
WKA
3 - 1
WAF
91%
6%
2%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 5
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NMF
0 - 1
NWA
13%
15%
73%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 1
NWA
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |